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Creators/Authors contains: "Thorp, Stephen"

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  1. ABSTRACT The local distance ladder estimate of the Hubble constant (H0) is important in cosmology, given the recent tension with the early universe inference. We estimate H0 from the Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) distance ladder, inferring SN Ia distances with the hierarchical Bayesian SED model, BayeSN. This method has a notable advantage of being able to continuously model the optical and near-infrared (NIR) SN Ia light curves simultaneously. We use two independent distance indicators, Cepheids or the tip of the red giant branch (TRGB), to calibrate a Hubble-flow sample of 67 SNe Ia with optical and NIR data. We estimate H0 = 74.82 ± 0.97 (stat) $$\pm \, 0.84$$ (sys) km $${\rm s}^{-1}\, {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$$ when using the calibration with Cepheid distances to 37 host galaxies of 41 SNe Ia, and 70.92 ± 1.14 (stat) $$\pm \, 1.49$$ (sys) km $${\rm s}^{-1}\, {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$$ when using the calibration with TRGB distances to 15 host galaxies of 18 SNe Ia. For both methods, we find a low intrinsic scatter σint ≲ 0.1 mag. We test various selection criteria and do not find significant shifts in the estimate of H0. Simultaneous modelling of the optical and NIR yields up to ∼15  per cent reduction in H0 uncertainty compared to the equivalent optical-only cases. With improvements expected in other rungs of the distance ladder, leveraging joint optical-NIR SN Ia data can be critical to reducing the H0 error budget. 
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  2. Abstract We present Young Supernova Experimentgrizyphotometry of SN 2021hpr, the third Type Ia supernova sibling to explode in the Cepheid calibrator galaxy, NGC 3147. Siblings are useful for improving SN-host distance estimates and investigating their contributions toward the SN Ia intrinsic scatter (post-standardization residual scatter in distance estimates). We thus develop a principled Bayesian framework for analyzing SN Ia siblings. At its core is the cosmology-independent relative intrinsic scatter parameter,σRel: the dispersion of siblings distance estimates relative to one another within a galaxy. It quantifies the contribution toward the total intrinsic scatter,σ0, from within-galaxy variations about the siblings’ common properties. It also affects the combined distance uncertainty. We present analytic formulae for computing aσRelposterior from individual siblings distances (estimated using any SN model). Applying a newly trainedBayeSNmodel, we fit the light curves of each sibling in NGC 3147 individually, to yield consistent distance estimates. However, the wideσRelposterior meansσRel≈σ0is not ruled out. We thus combine the distances by marginalizing overσRelwith an informative prior:σRel∼U(0,σ0). Simultaneously fitting the trio’s light curves improves constraints on distanceandeach sibling’s individual dust parameters, compared to individual fits. Higher correlation also tightens dust parameter constraints. Therefore,σRelmarginalization yields robust estimates of siblings distances for cosmology, as well as dust parameters for sibling–host correlation studies. Incorporating NGC 3147's Cepheid distance yieldsH0= 78.4 ± 6.5 km s−1Mpc−1. Our work motivates analyses of homogeneous siblings samples, to constrainσReland its SN-model dependence. 
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  3. The gravitationally lensed supernova Refsdal appeared in multiple images produced through gravitational lensing by a massive foreground galaxy cluster. After the supernova appeared in 2014, lens models of the galaxy cluster predicted that an additional image of the supernova would appear in 2015, which was subsequently observed. We use the time delays between the images to perform a blinded measurement of the expansion rate of the Universe, quantified by the Hubble constant (H0). Using eight cluster lens models, we infer H 0 = 64.8 4.3 + 4.4  kilometers per second per megaparsec . Using the two models most consistent with the observations, we find H 0 = 66.6 3.3 + 4.1  kilometers per second per megaparsec . The observations are best reproduced by models that assign dark-matter halos to individual galaxies and the overall cluster. 
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  4. Abstract In late 2014, four images of supernova (SN) “Refsdal,” the first known example of a strongly lensed SN with multiple resolved images, were detected in the MACS J1149 galaxy-cluster field. Following the images’ discovery, the SN was predicted to reappear within hundreds of days at a new position ∼8″ away in the field. The observed reappearance in late 2015 makes it possible to carry out Refsdal’s original proposal to use a multiply imaged SN to measure the Hubble constantH0, since the time delay between appearances should vary inversely withH0. Moreover, the position, brightness, and timing of the reappearance enable a novel test of the blind predictions of galaxy-cluster models, which are typically constrained only by the positions of multiply imaged galaxies. We have developed a new photometry pipeline that usesDOLPHOTto measure the fluxes of the five images of SN Refsdal from difference images. We apply four separate techniques to perform a blind measurement of the relative time delays and magnification ratios between the last image SX and the earlier images S1–S4. We measure the relative time delay of SX–S1 to be 376.0 5.5 + 5.6 days and the relative magnification to be 0.30 0.3 + 0.5 . This corresponds to a 1.5% precision on the time delay and 17% precision for the magnification ratios and includes uncertainties due to millilensing and microlensing. In an accompanying paper, we place initial and blind constraints on the value of the Hubble constant. 
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